Founder: @mixpanel Pizzatarian, programmer, music maker
The best thing that ever happened to Anthropic was not getting to ChatGPT first. It forced total unrelenting focus on Enterprise.
are you an npc?
RT Frak Going bar for bar with @G_Eazy Heat Check Original tweet: https://x.com/FrakThePerson/status/2010793368264327567
🔊 new song: round n round ♥️
The next frontier is breaking cynicism of this belief: "many people are interpreting this as evidence that LLMs are now creative, that they can genuinely produce something new without human feedback."
Not liking what you made is not failure. It’s the cost of doing reps at your current level.
Very impressive @jgebbia
The National Design Studio team is growing at break-neck speed with product designers and software engineers who want to blow minds and work on things that immediately impact our society, like http://realfood.gov below. Bonus is your mom will see what you ship on the news and
View quoted postRT Adam D'Angelo i can't believe we used to write all this code by hand Original tweet: https://x.com/adamdangelo/status/2008961539836186773
RT Paul Buchheit Delete the process Raise a Series-A on your terms The deadline to apply is January 7th, 2026 at 9p.m. PST. Standard will get back to on-time applicants by January 16th, 2026 @Standard_Cap Original tweet: https://x.com/paultoo/status/2008668330446700784
RT Blake Byers In 2025 we invented and our first anti-aging medicine -- makes your liver a decade or two younger (best guess today). We'll spend another couple years optimizing and then launch human clinical studies. In parallel, we are working on anti-aging medicines for the immune and vascular system. In a few years, we will we working on many more tissue types. This is all happening much faster than we anticipated when we started @newlimit. Original tweet: https://x.com/byersblake/status/2008657713178509701
2025 @newlimit: - 0 -> 1 candidate medicine that restores multiple youthful functions in old livers - 2X discoveries/$ with our frontier AI system - >1000X more TF payloads tested vs. the field we built our 1st medicine & began development 2026: we move toward the clinic #
Programming was never about learning how to write if-then statements. It was about building cool things and understanding how they work. Neither of which modern LLMs take away from you. Even if they build everything, you will still need to understand to direct them.
RT Apoorva Mehta if you have started a company in the last 12 months and it's not top 1%, now may be a good time to reconsider everything. claude code + opus 4.5 has changed what's possible and it'd suck to get the timing wrong by just a few months Original tweet: https://x.com/apoorva_mehta/status/2008192076341727501
If you want your kids to have great smiles in pictures, don’t take a picture and ask them to smile. Do something that would make them have to smile, YOU smile, and have someone take a picture. Like giving them a horsey ride to bed.
Crazy how good the loop of: let’s build X, write plan/.md, review plan/.md, iterate + give feedback, execute, put up PR, merge…think of next thing to build is now. When one person can execute on the whole vision of a product, you get really special products.
RT Paul Graham Whoah, today's Times crossword puzzle. We are as legit as Michael Caine and the yapok. Original tweet: https://x.com/paulg/status/2007155333245088156
Happy new year. Now let's fucking get it!
The sooner you act like the person or surround yourself with people in #1, the sooner you’ll be able to sense where the puck is going. Put another way, if you were 13 years old today, what would you be tinkering with?
Douglas Adam’s on technology and your age. I think it’s a good moment to reflect on in the age of AI.
RT Lulu Cheng Meservey Responding to negative feedback: are you a CodeRabbit or a Claude? Getting dragged in public sucks, and it happens to every founder at some point. The natural instinct is to bristle and push back, but that only makes it worse (Obvious exceptions: if the critic is a dogmatic hater or irrelevant to the business, if you're wendys or ryanair and being mean is your brand, etc. But in this case we're talking about relevant feedback from actual customers) Instead of a kneejerk defensive reaction, try a more strategic and disciplined route: 1) Don't jump to debate the facts. All feedback contains two different things: the substance, and the customer’s desire to have their frustration heard and acknowledged. Those are discrete issues, and you need to address both. 2) Start by aligning on principles. Even if you disagree on the merits of the feedback, you surely agree that quality is important, feedback is valuable, and you're the person responsible. There’s no hope of aligning on facts if you can’t first align on principles. 3) Overindex on accountability. Take more responsibility than what seems necessary. Take so much ownership that it surprises people. This obviates their need to hector you over it and removes a lot of surface area for attack, creating space for a calmer exchange. More importantly, if you’re the founder, the reality is that every detail of your product does fall on you. 4) If you need to clarify facts, make it an explanation instead of a defense. You can state the exact same information in a way that’s either defensive and bitter, or earnest and transparent. The only difference is tone. Approach with a stance of openness and transparency. 5) If self-critique or apology is warranted, keep it straightforward. (And if it's not warranted, skip it! People can tell when it's disingenuous or forced.) No need to grovel or self flagellate. Recap the problem plainly, explain the fix, say what you’re doing to prevent it in the future, ...
Interestingly, the invention of Claude code itself has and will create many orders of magnitude more side projects than before.
Write down what you predict for 2026. Keep it private if you want or share it w some friends. It’s a great way to humble or impress yourself as the year goes on. Besides, writing it down will make you think harder about it.
❤️
Been a bunch of chatter about how Groq employees make out in the Nvidia deal. Made some calls to find out. In short, very very well. Even if not fully vested. https://www.axios.com/2025/12/28/nvidia-groq-shareholders
View quoted postExcited for arc-agi-3!
If you're wondering whether saturating ARC-AGI-1 or 2 means we have AGI now... I refer you to what I said when we launched ARC-AGI-2 last year (which is also the same thing I said when we announced ARC-AGI-2 was coming, in Spring 2022, before the rise of LLM chatbots)... The
Always seek the most brutal, raw feedback possible. You will learn a tremendous amount. Getting the user's emotion is helpful to understand the severity.
Merry Christmas Eve everyone! We make Pau Bhaji as our tradition because the wife thinks it looks a bit Christmas-y every year. 🎄
Congrats @JonathanRoss321 Some random night I sat next to Jonathan at dinner and listened to him answer every question about Groq. So I tried asking much harder technical questions just to see how far we could go down the rabbit hole. At the end, I was just blown away by his depth of understanding. Did whatever I could to put my measly sum of money in investing. It's no surprise this is happening. Smarter that Jensen is doing it.
Today Groq entered into a non-exclusive licensing agreement with Nvidia for Groq’s inference technology. Along with other members of the Groq team, I’ll be joining Nvidia to help integrate the licensed technology. GroqCloud will continue to operate without interruption. Learn
View quoted postYou gotta stick with something for a while to get “lucky” in your career. And almost any tremendous career requires some.
Of course Noam rolled his own gradient compression algorithm. Most people try these clever ideas and waste months of their life. But not Noam.
🧵Five pretraining tricks from CAI. Before the Google deal, @character_ai was running pretraining on GCP H100-TCPX which has 1/4 of bandwidth as IB (!). @NoamShazeer invented a gradient compression algorithm called "Squinch" maintaining SOTA MFU despite the poor networking.
RT Aaron Levie Here’s why context engineering is such a big deal. We just spent 2 hours debating when an agent should rely on its internal knowledge vs. trying to find relevant context within data for just one type of question. We got through 2 test cases of hundreds. Even the people involved in the brainstorm couldn’t all agree on what they would expect humans to do in this situation. There truly was no right answer, and it’s always context specific customer by customer. Everything in context engineering is a tradeoff between a variety of factors: how fast do you want the agent to answer a question, how much back and forth interaction do you want to require for the user, how much work should it do before trying to answer a question, how does it know it has the exhaustive source material to answer the question, what’s the risk level of the wrong answer, and so on. Every decision you make on one of these dimensions has a consequence on the other end. There’s no free lunch. This is why building AI agents is so wild. It also highlights how much value there is above the LLM layer. Getting these decisions right directly relates to the quality of the value proposition. Original tweet: https://x.com/levie/status/2003588900523257878
Independently can confirm! I was too lazy to submit anything while in Japan but def achievable within error bars. I assume they didn't change their refinement approach too much. Congrats Poetiq! Some experiments:
We finally had a moment to run our system with GPT-5.2 X-High on ARC-AGI-2! Using the same Poetiq harness as before, we saw results as high as 75% at under $8 / problem using GPT-5.2 X-High on the full PUBLIC-EVAL dataset. This beats the previous SOTA by ~15 percentage points.
Credit where credit is due. GDM *shipped* this year.
He who solves context shall become rich. Current chain of thought hell in ChatGPT: - Accessing paywalled… - The Apple page didn’t provide detailed… - Since YouTube might have restrictions, I’ll try using.. - The Bankless page isn’t a direct transcript… - I couldn’t open the RSS feed, and using http://web/.run… - I can’t access the transcript for episode 100 due to the paywall… - The search didn’t turn up a separate blog post…
He who solves context shall become rich. Current chain of thought hell in ChatGPT: - Accessing paywalled… - The Apple page didn’t provide detailed… - Since YouTube might have restrictions, I’ll try using.. - The Bankless page isn’t a direct transcript… - I couldn’t open the RSS feed, and using http://web.run… - I can’t access the transcript for episode 100 due to the paywall… - The search didn’t turn up a separate blog post…
I think I only agree with #2 becoming true. My contrarian view is there is too much buzz around AI agents. It's certainly the buzzword of '25. AI is really just better software in the end and we are on a 20-year long cycle of steady improvement. PS: I am a big fan of Tomasz and his writing!
11 Predictions for 2026 Every year I make a list of predictions & score last year’s predictions. 2025 was a good year : I scored 7.85 out of 10. Here are my predictions for 2026 : 1. Businesses pay more for AI agents than people for the first time. This has already happened
View quoted postI legitimately thought this was AI with Meta RayBans tracking her. Did not touch enough snow in Hakuba, Japan clearly.
I think a robot Olympics would be very exciting to regularize the hype. Especially if the participants had no idea what the environment would look like and a portion of the tasks were unknown. One dark secret of these robots (after spending 6 mo), is almost all of them colossally fail at generalization. Hence "finetune" is the word I'd underline.
A while back Benjie Holson described a set of "Robot Olympics" challenge tasks -- washing a pan, making a peanut butter sandwich, and more. We tried to fine-tune our models at PI to these tasks, and found that we could do most of them. A few highlights below.
View quoted postContext window / compaction is totally broken. Must be solved in 2026.
I think it's very interesting to write down your predictions for the coming year--even if private. It's humbling to discover where you're wrong and fascinating to see what you predicted well. There's always a black swan event per year I've discovered. Writing makes you think harder about it too. I had all these predictions going into 2022 one year and most were wrong except my "Other" section.
Japan resets the brain and soul. ❤️
Each time I go back to Tokyo, I am reminded how high the bar can be for a city: people, culture, safety, housing. SF has so much potential. Tokyo is like a city full of sub-reddits everywhere.
What will we call high quality ai generated content? (ie opposite of slop)
RT Garry Tan Haters really do the best marketing Original tweet: https://x.com/garrytan/status/1999892279629353076
tiny psa: I've taken a bit of a pause from robotics after 6 months [got the info I needed] but I am working on general autonomous agents for a little while instead. Mostly want to push the models to an extreme. I'll keep working on it till I hit a wall and it becomes boring. Hopefully something surprising yet adjacent emerges. Building is the best way I learn. Just tinkering around and I hate being so secretive because it's wonderful to meet all kinds of people along the way to learn. It's so easy to take yourself too seriously. F*ck it.
Easily the most visible problem that has gone unsolved for decades showing how well @DanielLurie is doing by putting a stop to all of this
Car break-ins in San Francisco per month Apparently you can stop crime…simply by stopping crime!
In Tokyo next week, hmu.
It doesn’t matter how much you raise this early on. No need to get sad about this. Comparison is the theft of joy. All that matters is building your company and people loving what you made. The score will take care of itself.
Boom!
In today’s Social Radars we talk to Blake Scholl of @boomsupersonic. Building a supersonic airliner sounds hard. It is! And as a result our conversation with Blake was a particularly gripping one.
View quoted postRT BuccoCapital Bloke All the bad stocks in my portfolio are just one Indian CEO away from being ten baggers Original tweet: https://x.com/buccocapital/status/1998236438815809732
Whenever you announce a giant round of funding that you haven't yet earned, you tend to trade the public rooting for you as an underdog in favor of enticing talented but risk averse people. I wonder how much value there is in the latter.
Round and round, I say I’ll move Round and round, I never move Round and round, I swear I’ll move But I don’t move, I don’t move
Wait till AGI encounters corporate bureaucracy and human politics. Then only will see the true limit of intelligence.
RT TBPN Khosla Ventures managing partner Keith Rabois (@rabois) says AI safety is a "complete hoax." "I just don't believe any of it... [They're] always finding excuses for bureaucrats to interfere with progress." Original tweet: https://x.com/tbpn/status/1997109758374171214
🔊 will post songs to Spotify when i see enough support of people liking a song via replies
It is helpful to realize that even if you're god damn *Mark Zuckerberg* and you spend $77B for 15 years, sometimes it doesn't work out. No shade. Doing brand new categories is so hard and I am thankful he tried (despite haters). Man preserved longer than 99.999 percentile.
TIL there's a genre called Speed Garage. Music is crazier than B2B SaaS verticals.
RT VV Virality vs. Vitality Original tweet: https://x.com/visualizevalue/status/1996550081248461147
The answer to this question was the entire Anthropic Engineering blog. Very impressed by their frontier thinking end to end. My major takeaway though, however, was it's very early. It's still fairly simplistic software and workarounds around context compression.
What are the best guides / blog posts for building advanced multi-agent systems? I am curious if I am missing any clever ideas.
View quoted postRT Garry Tan YC is hiring software and product engineers https://www.ycombinator.com/careers Original tweet: https://x.com/garrytan/status/1996358198547361896
Not many people know about the @ycombinator internal tech team. They operate like a startup and build new features for their founders It's an unbelievable perk. I wish they got more credit
View quoted postWhat are the best guides / blog posts for building advanced multi-agent systems? I am curious if I am missing any clever ideas.
Yep. Tell ‘em Mixpanel did that and it did just fine. Scaled rapidly to $30-40m in short order and these days you’d probably 2-3x that on strong PLG growth.
A startup told me that one of their investors didn't like it that they were selling to newly founded startups, and wanted them to sell to bigger companies, who have more money. If investors tell you this, write them off as idiots. Selling to startups is the best thing you can do.
View quoted postCode red is probably all of 2026 if you want to win. Focus is for all the marbles. But more importantly, this leaves a lot of room for others to focus on things that aren’t being prioritized!
Give a man his dream job and you will sleep well with dreams. Running YC was @garrytan’s dream. Happy for my brother who is clearly killing it.
"I didn't take any notes this time. Everything's going so well." — Jessica after a YC Board meeting
View quoted post🔊 DON'T STOP
One way you can sense what’s coming next as a result of AI progress is looking at interesting benchmarks that aren’t made by researchers.
No video game manages to beat the open world rpg game of business. It’s just so fun and addicting. You can pick any lane (music, engineering, fashion) and compete till you’re top 1% while meeting the best along the way.
RT David Sacks INSIDE NYT’S HOAX FACTORY Five months ago, five New York Times reporters were dispatched to create a story about my supposed conflicts of interest working as the White House AI & Crypto Czar. Through a series of “fact checks” they revealed their accusations, which we debunked in detail. (Not surprisingly the published article included only bits and pieces of our responses.) Their accusations ranged from a fabricated dinner with a leading tech CEO, to nonexistent promises of access to the President, to baseless claims of influencing defense contracts. Every time we would prove an accusation false, NYT pivoted to the next allegation. This is why the story has dragged on for five months. Today they evidently just threw up their hands and published this nothing burger. Anyone who reads the story carefully can see that they strung together a bunch of anecdotes that don’t support the headline. And of course, that was the whole point. At no point in their constant goalpost-shifting was NYT willing to update the premise of their story to accept that I have no conflicts of interest to uncover. As it became clear that NYT wasn’t interested in writing a fair story, I hired the law firm Clare Locke, which specializes in defamation law. I’m attaching Clare Locke’s letter to NYT so readers have full context on our interactions with NYT’s reporters over the past several months. Once you read the letter, it becomes very clear how NYT willfully mischaracterized or ignored the facts to support their bogus narrative. Original tweet: https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1995225152674533557
I have this personal email address that I made when I was a teenage hacker and somehow I never got to changing it to a more serious thing. It’s cringe when I have a vocalize it. Anyhow, as I’ve gotten older, I’ve enjoyed keeping it as a reminder of a younger, more carefree me.
I always try to ground this with founders. Someone gave you *a million dollars* to try your high risk, whacky idea you thought of. No great risk to you other than time which you’d spend on it potentially anyway. What a time to be alive.
I met with a startup in the current batch who seemed demoralized because fundraising was going badly. Later I learned they'd already raised a million dollars. Fundraising going badly is not what it used to be.
View quoted postVery excited about these two books for this December. I love building from scratch type stuff.
I think it's easy to be awe. Take something you like but don't understand well and watch someone make a song, a shoe, a light bulb, or a jet engine and you'll have 100 questions. I don't know how you can't be inspired by how things are made and realize there's no limit to man.
RT Naval Great Engineers are Also Artists. “I characterize art as something that is done for its own sake, and done well, and often creates a sense of beauty or some strong emotion. And a lot of engineers are introverts. As an aside, I hate the term “incel.” It’s just a way of putting introverts down. It’s the new “nerd,” if you will. If someone says that somebody is an incel, I’m more likely to want to interview them. So let’s move away from the slurs. But introverts tend to want to express themselves through other things rather than going out and expressing themselves directly. So what are they going to do? They’re going to express themselves through their craft. They’re going to create art. In my current company, at least half the engineers have serious artwork they’ve done on the side. World-class artwork—everything from elegant mathematical proofs to beautiful computer art, to literally sculpting things with clay, designing clothing, designing doorknobs, water bottles. There’s one who’s done incredible music videos, really good stuff. And I see a lot of the better engineers tinker with the AI art products, much more so than even so-called artists do. I think a lot of artists are scared by AI art products saying, “This is going to replace me.” Whereas someone who doesn’t have that identity of an artist and doesn’t feel threatened by it—it’s just a tool and they try it out to see what it can create. Anything done for its own sake and done as well as one possibly can is art. And great engineers are also artists. They’re capable of anything. It’s just they’ve chosen to be engineers and focused on building things because engineering is the ability to turn your ideas and your art into things that actually work, that do something useful, that embody some knowledge in a way that it can be repeated and people can get utility out of it. But that doesn’t mean that it can’t be beautiful.” Original tweet: https://x.com/naval/status/1994501686321410485
Discipline doesn't give af about Thanksgiving.
RT Paul Graham I talked to a startup that's not a software company but uses AI quite a lot. They currently have 6 employees. I asked how many more people they'd need to hire if they didn't use AI, and they said about 10. So AI is increasing their productivity about 2.7x. Original tweet: https://x.com/paulg/status/1994184673572839672
A good story is easier to tell when it's real and authentically lived, not practiced with a coach and contrived into what you think people want to hear. VCs are great pattern matchers of bullshit because they are sold to every day.
Autonomous end to end shoe manufacturing is the final boss for AGI. It's shocking how many steps there are and how dexterous you must be.
This is super cool.Nuevo.Tokyo™: tonari 3 は、最速かつ最高品質のコミュニケーションツールとして新たにリリースされました。東京を拠点とする少人数の国際チームによって開発され、すでに世界中の一流企業やチームに導入されています。日本発、世界へ届けるプロダクトです。12月18日まで公開中の新しいショールームにて、ぜひ実際に Link: https://x.com/nuevo_tokyo/status/1991396285832700302
Sometimes the ideas that are bad are insights into why there’s a better thing to do. Bad ideas mean you got surprised and probably surprised by something not immediately obvious. That itself is worth understanding because likely there’s a problem still worth solving beneath.
Man, the idea maze is so real. You sorta keep wandering endlessly—hitting dead ends everywhere—until you land on the thing that feels so right to you. Sometimes the ideas that are bad are insights into why there’s a better thing to do.
Google got good at AI. They did not let bureaucracy kill them in the end. Bravo.
I see Mixpanel graphs everywhere still. On X, in pitch decks, in a coffee shop. It’s still awesome. ❤️
If you describe your company as “a space”, you’ve already lost.
Isaiah Taylor - making nuclear reactors: Today, Valar Atomics became the first startup in history to split the atom. Announcing Project Nova, a series of zero power critical tests on Valar Atomics' Nova Core in collaboration with Los Alamos NCERC and NNSS. Nova went critical for the first time this morning at 11:45am. Link: https://x.com/isaiah_p_taylor/status/1990535382438719825
This is why you cannot merely export Chinese manufacturing to the US. The first sign of real progress would be seeing the export of their people too.
I wish I understood at 20 just how vibes based investing was for many. I think that would’ve helped my mental picture of it all. The two major factors that seem to matter (early stage) are: (1) are you a god damn killer, (2) do you understand this enough to make a good product.
If you don’t have a good idea for a startup that you deeply understand, you don’t need to performatively start something. Just wait, allow the world to evolve, and surround yourself around opportunities to find problems. These things require a huge portion of your life force.
Been so inspired to make music lately. I guess that’s the new plan.